double exponential smoothing

Exponential smoothing is one of many window functions commonly applied to smooth data in signal processing, acting as low-pass filters to remove high frequency noise.

Simple exponential smoothing does not do well when there is a trend in the data. In such situations, several methods were devised under the name "double exponential smoothing" or "second-order exponential smoothing.", which is the recursive application of an exponential filter twice, thus being termed "double exponential smoothing".

In simple terms, this is like an average value, but more recent values are given more weight and the trend of the values influences significantly the result.

IMPORTANT

It is common for des to provide "average" values that far beyond the minimum or the maximum values found in the time-series. des estimates these values because of it takes into account the trend.

This module implements the "Holt-Winters double exponential smoothing".

Netdata automatically adjusts the weight (alpha) and the trend (beta) based on the number of values processed, using the formula:

window = max(number of values, 15)

alpha = 2 / (window + 1)

beta = 2 / (window + 1)

You can change the fixed value 15 by setting in netdata.conf:

[web]

des max window = 15

how to use

Use it in alarms like this:

alarm: my_alarm

on: my_chart

lookup: des -1m unaligned of my_dimension

warn: $this > 1000

des does not change the units. For example, if the chart units is requests/sec, the result will be again expressed in the same units.

It can also be used in APIs and badges as &group=des in the URL.

Examples

Examining last 1 minute successful web server responses:

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References

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_smoothing.